• MTS Gold Evening News 20191225

    25 Dec 2019 | Gold News
      

· Gold rose above $1,500 an ounce on Tuesday as lingering fears of recession and equity market highs drove investor demand.

Spot gold was up nearly 1% in thin trade at $1,499.48 per ounce by 01:40 p.m. ET (1840 GMT), its highest since Nov. 5, while U.S. gold futures settled up 1.1% at $1,504.80.

· "We are still not seeing good (U.S.) numbers come out of the business investment side. We are wholly dependent on consumer spending. But when consumer spending starts to flag a bit, then the economy could really start to slow down more noticeably," Edward Meir, analyst at ED&F Man Capital Markets, said.

New orders for key U.S.-made capital goods barely rose in November and shipments fell, data on Monday showed, suggesting business investment will probably remain a drag on economic growth in the fourth quarter.

Data from the United States is keenly watched for cues on the central bank's future monetary trajectory. Gold is sensitive to rising interest rates, which lift its opportunity cost.

· Meanwhile, optimism on U.S.-China trade talks has lifted equities to record levels. World stocks remained on track for their best year in a decade, while Wall Street dipped from near-record levels.

"The stock market is getting very overbought. If you have a correction in stocks, gold could benefit," Meir added.

· U.S. President Donald Trump said on Tuesday he and Chinese President Xi Jinping will have a ceremony to sign the first phase of a trade deal agreed this month.

· The 17-month long dispute has driven a 16% rise in gold prices, with putting it on track for its best year since 2010.


· Gold in 2020

Gold is sneakily turning bullish as we approach year end. Gold has withstood a wrath of trade optimism that has made many investors question the need for safe-havens. The 2020 outlook for gold is starting to look very bullish as strong central bank demand is firmly in place, the dollar could continuing falling in the first half of the year, the Fed is on hold and the next move is still likely to be further accommodation as deflationary pressures seem likely to return, and we will unlikely see a broader trade deal between the world’s two largest economies until after the 2020 Presidential election.


· Elsewhere, palladium rose 0.5% to $1,884.16 an ounce. Platinum inched 0.4% higher to $940.08, while silver rose nearly 2% to $17.76 an ounce, setting it for a fifth straight session of gains.


Reference: Reuters, MarketPulse

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