• MTS Gold Morning News 20170505

    5 May 2017 | Gold News

• Gold prices fell to the lowest in more than six weeks on Thursday, on expectations of further U.S. interest rate increases this year and receding political uncertainty in Europe.

• Spot gold was down 0.8 percent at $1,227.94 an ounce by 3:02 p.m. EDT (1902 GMT) after touching$1,225.20, the lowest since March 17, and extending losses below the 50- and 200-day moving averages. Support was seen around $1,221, the 100-day moving average. U.S. gold futures settled down 1.6 percent at$1,228.60.

• "The recent modest rise in U.S. real yields and thereby also in the U.S. dollar has resulted in downward pressure on gold prices. What is more, optimism about an EU-friendly election outcome in France has calmed investor's nerves," said ABN Amro analyst Georgette Boele. "As a result, investment assets that have safe haven characteristics, such as the yen and gold, have been sold off."

• Expectations that centrist Emmanuel Macron will win the French presidential election on Sunday were reinforced in a TV debate with the far-right's Marine Le Pen.

• The dollar index initially strengthened after the U.S. Federal Reserve played down any threats to this year's planned rate increases, supporting forecasts of another move in June.

• The focus is now shifting to Friday's U.S. non-farm payrolls report for April, which could reinforce expectations of higher U.S. interest rates in June.

• Futures traders are pricing in a 79 percent chance of a June rate hike, up from 68 percent a week earlier, according to the CME Group's FedWatch Tool.

• "In the very near term we continue to expect that gold will trade moderately lower - our three-month target is $1,200/oz, as a number of bearish catalysts have yet to fully play out," Goldman Sachs analysts said in a note.

Goldman said near-term downside risks for gold included more U.S. rate increases than the market is expecting and the Fed starting to shrink its balance sheet on the back of possible U.S. tax cuts and solid U.S. and global economic growth.

• Central bank gold demand hit its lowest in nearly six years in the first quarter as Chinese buying dried up, the World Gold Council said in a report.

• Silver was down 0.6 percent at $16.295, having hit a four-month low of $16.17. It has fallen around 13percent since reaching a five-month high of $18.65 in mid-April.

Reference: Reuters

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