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Gold hits one-week high on dollar weakness; ECB meeting in focus
· Gold steadied near a one-week high on Thursday as the dollar weakened, but the yellow metal traded in a narrow $8 range as investors held large bets ahead of the European Central Bank’s monetary policy decision due later in the day.
· Spot gold was flat at $1,946.25 per ounce by 0511 GMT, after hitting its highest since Sept. 3 at $1,950.51 on Wednesday.
· U.S. gold futures were steady at $1,954.90.
· “The U.S. dollar is a bit lower, stocks bounced a bit and that essentially carried over to gold as well,” said DailyFx currency strategist Ilya Spivak.
· Asian stock markets snapped their longest losing streak since February following a bounce on Wall Street, while the dollar index slipped from four-week highs, making gold less expensive for holders of other currencies.
· Spivak said investors in gold may also be waiting for U.S. CPI data and the Federal Reserve’s two-day meeting next week, in addition to ECB’s announcement which is a key risk event.
· The ECB is all but certain to keep policy unchanged when it announces its decision at 1145 GMT, which will then be followed by a news conference by President Christine Lagarde.
· Major central banks have rolled out unprecedented stimulus measures and kept interest rates low, driving gold to new highs because of its role as a hedge against inflation and currency debasement.
· “Ample money supply, lower interest rates and macro uncertainty should support gold investment,” ANZ analysts said in a note. “Physical demand is recovering, so we see the gold price reaching $2,300/oz next year.”
· On the technical front, spot gold may rise more to $1,965 per ounce, as suggested by a projection analysis and a falling channel, said Reuters technical analyst Wang Tao.
· Elsewhere, silver was steady at $27.02 per ounce, platinum was little changed at $916.18 and palladium gained 1% to $2,294.42.
· Gold Price Analysis: XAU/USD rejected above $1,950 despite bullish candlestick pattern
Gold is trading near $1,945 at press time, representing a 0.10% decline on the day.
The yellow metal closed Wednesday with 0.8% gains, marking a positive follow-through to Tuesday's Doji candle. In other words, the daily chart now shows a bullish Doji reversal pattern.
So far, however, that has failed to invite stong chart-driven selling. Gold faced rejection at $1,950 an hour ago and is currently trading in the red.
Key support levels are located at $1,916 (50-day SMA) and $$1,906 (Tuesday's low). Meanwhile, resistance levels are seen at $1,950 (session high) and $1,978 (trendline falling from Aug. 18 and Sept. 1 highs).
The bullish Doji reversal pattern would remain valid while prices are held above $1,906.
Reference: CNBC, Fxstreet