· Gold prices slipped further on Tuesday from the previous session's near seven-year high, as Middle East tensions cooled and investors booked profit, while palladium touched a new high.
Spot gold fell 0.4% — its biggest daily percentage decline in about a month — to $1,559.11 per ounce by 0341 GMT. In the previous session, prices had touched $1,582.59, the highest since April 2013.
U.S. gold futures dipped 0.5% to $1,561.00.
· "With no immediate retaliation from Iran, some of the tensions have simmered. Also, we've seen some profit-taking coming in," said Jeffrey Halley, a senior market analyst for the Asia-Pacific region at OANDA.
"If things de-escalate (with Iran), then gold will hit lower quite quickly. We would see it go down below $1,500."
Gold, considered a safe asset in times of political and economic uncertainty, had jumped in the last two sessions on concerns of a wider conflict after a U.S. air strike killed Iran's top military commander Qassem Soleimani last week.
· Markets were worried about conflicting reports about American military repositioning troops in preparation for leaving Iraq.
Further weighing on gold, Asian shares rebounded on ebbing Middle East tensions.
Additionally, oil prices relinquished gains on speculation that Iran might not strike against the United States in a way that would disrupt supplies.
· However, risks of escalating tensions persisted, with the United States denying a visa to Iranian Foreign Minister Mohammad Javad Zarif that would have let him attend a United Nations Security Council meeting in New York on Thursday.
· "With $15-$20 setbacks the new intraday norm (in gold), look for volatility to remain elevated," Stephen Innes, a market strategist at AxiTrader, said in a note.
· Holdings of the world's largest gold-backed exchange-traded fund, SPDR Gold Trust, rose 0.10% to 896.18 tonnes on Monday, their highest since Nov. 27.
· Speculators increased their bullish positions in COMEX gold and silver contracts in the week to Dec. 31, data showed.
· Gold Technical Analysis: Grappling with 50-hour MA, stuck in falling channel on 1H
Gold is struggling to extend the recovery from the session low of $1,554.80 to levels above the 50-hour moving average (MA) at $1,561.
At press time, the yellow metal is trading at $1,559 per Oz, representing a 0.40% drop on the day, having hit a 6.5-year high of $1,588 on Monday.
The pullback has taken the shape of a falling channel, as seen in the hourly chart. A breakout would imply an end of the pullback and open the doors for a re-test of $1,588.
A breakout looks likely as the hourly chart MACD has diverged in favor of the bulls by forming a higher low.
That said, the 14-day relative strength index is reporting overbought conditions. So, a move above $1,588 looks unlikely.
The ascending 5-day average at $1,544 could come into play if the weekly low of $1,552 is breached.
· Gold is a better hedge than oil as US-Iran tensions spike, Goldman Sachs says
Gold is a stronger hedge than oil for investors seeking safe returns amid the escalation of tensions between the U.S. and Iran, Goldman Sachs commodity strategists have suggested.
Though the upward momentum in Brent prices suggests some expectation that the recent escalations will lead to oil supply disruption, Goldman analysts suggested that the range of possible outcomes is too large for this to be accurately priced in, meaning actual disruption is now necessary to sustain current oil prices at around $69 per barrel.
“Therefore, additional escalation in U.S.-Iranian tensions could further boost gold prices. All in all, we stick with our three, six and 12-month forecast of $1,600/toz but see upside risks if geopolitical tensions worsen.”
· Elsewhere, spot palladium fell 0.3% to $2,024.75, off an all-time peak of $2,032.94 an ounce hit earlier in the session. The industrial metal, suffering from sustained supply woes, gained about 54% in 2019.
· Silver slipped 0.5% to $18.05 an ounce, after touching a more than three-month high at $18.50 in the previous session, while platinum advanced 0.3% to $965.76.
Reference: Reuters, FX Street, CNBC
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