• MTS Gold Evening News 20190823

    23 Aug 2019 | Gold News
 
· Gold eased on Friday and was set for its worst week in nearly five months, as lack of clarity from U.S. Federal Reserve on the outlook for interest rate cuts triggered investors to cash in some gains ahead of Jerome Powell’s speech at Jackson Hole.

Spot gold was down 0.3% to $1,494.76 per ounce as of 0551 GMT.

The metal has lost nearly 1.3% so far this week, on track for its biggest weekly percentage decline since March 29.

U.S. gold futures also slipped 0.3% at $1,504.40 an ounce.

· The market is closely watching Fed Chairman Powell’s speech at the Jackson Hole seminar due later in the day (1400 GMT) for clarity on monetary policy after minutes of the U.S. central bank’s July meeting tempered hopes of aggressive rate cuts.

· “There is no clear direction on what the Fed is doing, so people are on the sidelines until they hear concrete answers,” said Brian Lan, managing director at dealer GoldSilver Central in Singapore.

“Some people are taking out profits off the table,” he added.

Underscoring divisions within the Fed, two central bank officials said on Thursday the U.S. economy does not need more stimulus at this point while another said he was “open-minded.”

Meanwhile, in the U.S. bond market, the two-year, 10-year Treasury yield curve briefly moved back into inversion overnight. This inversion has heralded several past U.S. recessions.

It had flashed recession red lights last Wednesday for the first time since the 2007-08 financial crisis.

· “There are still concerns about the economy, trade uncertainty, geo-political tensions; all these things have not gone away, which is supportive for gold,” said John Sharma, an economist with National Australia Bank.

Gold is used as a safe investment during times of political and financial uncertainty.

· Indicative of sentiment, holdings of SPDR Gold Trust, the world’s largest gold-backed exchange-traded fund, have increased by about 27tonnes so far this month.

· Traders are also awaiting the Group of Seven summit this weekend for clues on what additional steps policymakers may take to boost economic growth.

· On the technical side, a bullish target at $1,524 per ounce has been aborted for spot gold, as it has more or less broken a support at$1,497, said Reuters technical analyst Wang Tao.

· Gold remains under pressure amid strong USD, risk recovery

With the market sentiment turning the risk recovery mode on, Gold prices decline to $1,497 by the press time of Friday morning in Asia.

The bullion has been under pressure off-late amid the strength of the US Dollar (USD) and investors’ wait and watch approach ahead of the key speeches from the Jackson Hole Symposium.

Technical Analysis

Short-term declines are being confined by $1,481/80 region including August 13 low and 21-day simple moving average (SMA), a break of which can recall July month high near $1,452. Meanwhile, $1,510 and $1,528 hold the key to pair’s run-up towards latest high of $1,534.41

· Gold technical analysis: Looks south with symmetrical breakdown on 4H

On the 4-hour chart, the yellow metal has dived out of a narrowing price range or contracting triangle pattern.

The indicators on the daily chart are also biased bearish. For instance, the moving average convergence divergence (MACD) histogram has crossed below zero, confirming a bearish reversal. The 5-and 10-day moving averages (MAs) have also produced a bearish crossover.

So, a deeper drop to the Aug. 13 low of $1,480. The bearish case would weaken if prices rise above $1,508, although, as of writing, that looks unlikely

· Among other precious metals, silver edged 0.1% lower to $16.99per ounce; while platinum rose 0.2% to $858.97, keeping it on course for a weekly gain.

· Palladium was down 0.3% at $1,482.50 per ounce. However, the autocatalyst was on track for its third consecutive weekly rise, gaining2.5% so far this week.

Reference: Reuters,FXStreet

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