• MTS Gold Evening News 20190626

    26 Jun 2019 | Gold News

  
· Gold prices slipped more than 1% on Wednesday, moving away from a six-year peak hit on Tuesday, as U.S. Federal Reserve officials played down expectations of aggressive rate cuts, while investors locked in profits following a strong rally.

Spot gold was down 1.2% at $1,405.60 per ounce as of 0339 GMT, heading for its first decline in seven sessions.

Gold prices hit their highest level since May 14, 2013 at $1,438.63 in the previous session.

U.S. gold futures fell 0.4% to $1,413.30 an ounce.


· “The combination of length that was built-up in the market over the short-term, coupled with Fed coming in and shaking the trees last night has really flushed out a lot of the weaker longs in the market,” said Stephen Innes, managing partner at SPI Asset Management.

On Tuesday, U.S. Fed Chairman Jerome Powell asserted the central bank’s independence, stating that it is “insulated from short-term political pressures,” pushing back against U.S. President Donald Trump’s demand for a significant rate cut.

While this hosed down expectations for a half-percentage-point cut at the Fed’s July meeting, investors are still expecting at least a quarter percentage point reduction.

Separately, St. Louis Fed President James Bullard told Bloomberg Television he does not think the U.S. economy is dire enough to warrant a 50-basis-point cut in July.


· “Gold has had a strong ‘melt up’ over the last month. So some short-term profit taking is to be expected,” said Heng Koon How, head of markets strategy at Singapore’s United Overseas Bank.


· Meanwhile, hurting bullion appeal, the dollar index rose 0.2% on Wednesday moving away from multi-month lows.

The United States hopes to re-launch trade talks with Beijing after Trump and Chinese President Xi Jinping meet in Japan during the G20 summit on Saturday.


· “Not so big buying coming ahead of the weekend trade talks, gold could trade below $1,400 convincingly if things pretty much improve coming out of G20,” Innes from SPI Asset Management said.


· Holdings of SPDR Gold Trust, the world’s largest gold-backed exchange-traded fund, fell 0.3% to 799.61 tonnes on Tuesday from801.96 tonnes on Monday.


· Spot gold may test a support at $1,404 per ounce, a break below could cause a loss to $1,387, according to Reuters technicals analyst Wang Tao.

· Gold price projections from Goldman Sachs:

3 months $1450 (prior forecast was at $1350)

6 months $1475 (from $1350)

12 months $1475 (from $1425)

Reasoning from GS: gold supported by central bank buying, GS expect the buying to be more than 100 tonnes over last year's levelslower real interest rates to support gold

More: base case scenario is global growth gradually improves in H2 of 2019 recession worries recede should eventually lead to a gradual moderation in "fear" driven investment demand for gold Emerging market GDP growth gradually improves GS say they see less tactical upside for gold but weak growth in DM is a positive strategically (portfolio diversification) if slow growth in DM persists, GS expect 2016 to repeat (ETF buying increased by 800 tonnes Jan to Sep that year) - this could take gold prices above $1600


· Among other precious metals, silver fell 1.1% to $15.20 per ounce and palladium dipped 0.2% to $1,525.44.

Platinum lost 0.5% to $801.62 per ounce.


Reference: Reuters, Forex Live


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