• MTS Gold Evening News 20190418

    18 Apr 2019 | Gold News
· Gold fell to its lowest since end-December on Thursday as indications that the global economy might not be as pain-stricken as previously feared prompted investors to take risks ahead of a slew of economic data.

Spot gold fell 0.1 percent to $1,271.97 per ounce by 0345 GMT, having fallen to $1,270.99 earlier in the session, its lowest since Dec. 27.

The metal has so far lost about 1.4 percent in the holiday-shortened week, and is on track for a fourth straight weekly decline. Most markets are closed for Good Friday on April 19.

U.S. gold futures lost 0.2 percent to $1,274.50 an ounce.

· The global economic concerns are off the table, said Brian Lan, managing director at dealer GoldSilver Central in Singapore, adding that bullion was pressured as it broke below the support level of $1,275 an ounce earlier this week.

“Now we will see gold testing the support at $1,265.”

· Among a string of positive economic indications were data from both United States and China that tempered concerns about global growth and took the sheen off safe-haven bullion.

China’s economy grew at a steady pace in the first quarter, defying expectations of further weakness, while analysts expect Beijing to bolster its stimulus programs and further aid the economy.

In the U.S., trade deficit fell to an eight-month low in February as imports from China plunged, boosting the country’s economic growth in the first quarter.

· The two counties have set a tentative timeline for the next round of trade talks and aim to conclude negotiations by early June, according to a Wall Street Journal report on Wednesday.

· “Gold prices continue to sag on better economic data broadly while trade optimism appears poised to finally deliver a deal by early June at the latest,” OANDA senior market analyst Edward Moya said in a note.

“The yellow metal is also weaker from momentum on China’s surprising better-than-expected GDP, retails sales and industrial production data.”

· Asian shares remain close to a nine-month peak. Focus has now turned to the release of Purchasing Managers’ Indexes (PMIs) for the manufacturing and service sectors in Europe later in the day to provide more cues on the strength of the euro zone economy.

· Holdings of SPDR Gold Trust, the world’s largest gold-backed exchange-traded fund, were at 752.86 tonnes on Wednesday, still around their lowest levels since Oct. 27.

· Gold Technical Analysis: Break of $1276 highlights 8-month old ascending support-line

Gold trades near $1274 during early Thursday. The yellow metal dropped beneath 38.2% Fibonacci retracement of its August 2018 to February 2019 upside for the first time since in 2019 on yesterday.

As a result, chances of its further weakness towards an upward sloping trend-line since August 2018, at $1262, can’t be denied. Though, $1270 and $1266/65 can act as intermediate halts during the decline.

In a case where the quote slips under $1262 support-line, 200-day simple moving average (SMA) near $1250 could become sellers’ favorite.

On the upside break of $1276 figure comprising 38.2% Fibonacci retracement, $1281 and 100-day SMA level of $1289 could please buyers.

Should there be increased buying past-$1289, $1296, $1301 and 50-day SMA level of $1304 can please buyers ahead of challenging $1309 trend-line resistance stretched since February.

· GOLD TECHNICAL ANALYSIS

Gold prices continue to drift lower after completing a Head and Shoulders (H&S) topping pattern. From here, a break below support in the 1260.80-63.76 area exposes the 1235.11-38.00 zone next, though the H&S setup implies a larger decline to 1215.00. A move back above neckline support-turned-resistance 1281.26 sets the stage for a retest of the 1303.70-09.12 region.

· Technically, June gold futures prices closed near the session low today. The bears have the overall near-term technical advantage. A two-month-old downtrend line on the daily bar chart is in place. Gold bulls' next upside near-term price breakout objective is to produce a close above solid technical resistance at $1,300.00. Bears' next near-term downside price breakout objective is pushing prices below solid technical support at $1,250.00. First resistance is seen at today’s high of $1,282.10 and then at Tuesday’s high of $1,291.70. First support is seen at $1,270.00 and then at $1,260.00. Wyckoff's Market Rating: 4.0.

· Elsewhere, silver shed 0.6 percent to $14.90 an ounce.

Spot platinum was steady at $882.95 per ounce, while palladium slipped 0.5 percent to $1,394.90 an ounce, having gained 3.9 percent to a two-week high at $1,406.81 in the previous session.


Reference: Reuters, Daily FX

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