• MTS Gold Evening News 20190125

    25 Jan 2019 | Gold News
·       Gold prices edged higher on Friday amid concerns that a prolonged U.S. government shutdown could exacerbate an already slowing global growth, while markets awaited U.S.-China trade talks scheduled for next week.


Spot gold rose 0.2 percent at $1,282.50 per ounce, as of 0343 GMT, while U.S. gold futures were steady at $1,281.40 per ounce.

Investors are worried about the economic impact of the longest U.S. government shutdown in history, now in its 34th day, with two bills to end the partial shutdown failing to win enough votes in the Senate.

·       "There are some positive features supporting gold like the U.S. government shutdown, ongoing trade war and potential for slower rate hikes," said John Sharma, an economist with National Australia Bank.

"At the moment, people are waiting for the U.S.-China trade discussions," Sharma said, adding that any development on that front could provide a direction for gold.

·       The United States and China are "miles and miles" from resolving trade issues, but there is a fair chance the two countries will get a deal, U.S. Commerce Secretary Wilbur Ross said on Thursday.

Concerns about slowing global economy and hopes that the U.S. Federal Reserve will pause its multi-year rate hike cycle are supporting gold, analysts said.

·       A synchronized global economic slowdown is under way and any escalation in the U.S.-China trade war would trigger a sharper downturn, according to the latest Reuters polls of hundreds of economists from around the world.

·       "We expect that a topping out of U.S. real yields will put a firmer floor under gold prices this year and Fed's hiking cycle to peter out in 2019," said Sabrin Chowdhury, commodities analyst at Fitch Solutions.

"Global risk-aversion will rise in 2019 and flows into safe- haven assets, including gold, are likely to pick up."

·       Meanwhile, the dollar index, which measures the greenback against a basket of currencies, fell 0.2 percent, after a report that Northern Ireland's Democratic Unionist Party has privately decided to offer conditional backing for Prime Minister Theresa May's Brexit deal next week.

·       Technically, spot gold has found a support at $1,278 per ounce, and it may hover above this level or bounce towards a resistance at $1,289, according to Reuters analyst Wang Tao.

·       Gold could revisit the high of $1,286 hit earlier this week, as the repeated bounce from sub-$1,280 may have weakened the bearish view put forward by the contracting triangle breakdown.

As seen above, sellers are struggling for a convincing break below $1,280.

That said, there is merit in being cautious as a convincing break below $1,280 would reinforce the contracting triangle breakdown and open up downside toward $1,265.

Trend: Cautiously bearish

·       Among other metals, palladium, which hit a record high of $1,434.50 an ounce last week on low inventories and rising demand, was steady at $1,320 on Friday.

Silver was up 0.3 percent at $15.35 per ounce while platinum gained 0.3 percent to $803.


Reference: Reuters, Daily FX

Related
MTS Gold Co., Ltd.
40,42,44, Sapsin Road, Wang Burapha Phirom Sub-district, Pranakorn District, Bangkok, 10200
Tel. 0 2770 7777 Fax. 0 2623 9366 E-mail: support@mtsgoldgroup.com