• MTS Gold Evening News 20190104

    4 Jan 2019 | Gold News
• Gold prices hit their highest in 6-1/2 months on Friday as volatile equity markets on the back of weak U.S. data heightened fears of a global economic slowdown, propelling the safe-haven metal towards a potential third straight weekly gain.

Spot gold was up 0.2 percent at $1,296.35 per ounce, as of 0301 GMT, having earlier touched $1,298.42, its highest since mid-June.

The yellow metal has risen over 1 percent so far this week.

U.S. gold futures were up about 0.4 percent at $1,299.50 per ounce.

• "Concerns about tepid global economic growth and volatility in risk assets is likely to keep the safe-haven asset - gold - in flavour," said Sugandha Sachdeva, vice-president of metals, energy and currency research, Religare Broking Ltd.

• Global markets were on edge on Friday as dire U.S. economic data slammed Wall Street and pushed investors to bet the Federal Reserve could reverse its policy tightening before the end of this year.

• A survey data from Institute for Supply Management (ISM) showed that U.S. manufacturing activity slowed sharply to a two-year low in December, suggesting the economy was probably not immune to slowing growth in China and Europe.

• "The market is taking a big step further (for gold). The Fed funds futures market is now pricing in a 40 percent chance of a rate cut by the end of this year," said Amit Kumar Gupta, portfolio management services head, Adroit Financial Services in New Delhi.

• Investors had expected the U.S. Fed to stay on its tightening path after three hikes last year, but the ongoing trade war and recent disappointing corporate earnings have put those expectations to rest.

• Investors will be looking for cues about interest rate hikes from a discussion between Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell and former Fed Chairs Janet Yellen and Ben Bernanke on Friday.

• Meanwhile, markets are awaiting the closely watched December payrolls report later in the day.

• "Gold prices seem to tread higher towards $1,325 per ounce in the near term ... Prices are likely to remain buoyant, but may witness some profit-booking at higher levels," Sachdeva added.
• GOLD TECHNICAL ANALYSIS
Gold prices are aiming to test resistance in the 1302.97-07.32 area. A daily close above that exposes minor support-turned-resistance at 1323.60, followed by a major top in the 1357.50-66.06 zone. Alternatively, a move back below former resistance at 1282.27 opens the door for a retest of the 1257.60-66.44region.
• Gold has had a very good run to its last high at 1.292$.

It has formed a new and steep parallel channel and has just touched the upper limit.

The RSI-Indicator shows Gold within a triangle and actually in the peak of this wedge . Whether it breaks to the top or will correct to the bottom (what I am expecting).

Volume has shrunken - not much but enough to show falling momentum.

MACD is more or less neutral but with falling tendency (in 30-min candles it has already turned).

My conclusion is, that Gold will make a pause in the longer positive trend, returning to the broader channel or even to the last swing trend line at 1.239$ (dotted line). This wouldn´t interrupt the positive trend - it would only be a little correction within the positive trend.

In the longer run I expect gold to get back to the older levels (> 1.300$).

• Among other precious metals, palladium gained 0.4 percent to $1,268.24 per ounce.

Silver was up 0.5 percent at $15.82 per ounce, while platinum gained 0.6 percent to $802.90.


Reference: CNBC,Tradingview,DailyFX


Related
MTS Gold Co., Ltd.
40,42,44, Sapsin Road, Wang Burapha Phirom Sub-district, Pranakorn District, Bangkok, 10200
Tel. 0 2770 7777 Fax. 0 2623 9366 E-mail: support@mtsgoldgroup.com